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Alex De Minaur vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Minaur vs Jarry analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Alex De Minaur vs Nicolas Jarry Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Minaur 3 - 0 Jarry

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Minaur has won 56.24% of points on their second serve, while Jarry has won 51.31%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Minaur, in recent form, has won 55.77% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jarry has won 48.4%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.87% and 27.87% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Minaur has saved 60.95% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jarry has saved 65.22% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Minaur has won 69.41% of matches played (W/L 59/ 26), with Jarry winning 58.62% (W/L 34/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 65/ 51). Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 159), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 9/ 18).
  • Player level: In the last year, Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11), where as Jarry has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.33% of matches (W/L 14/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Minaur winning 3 times and Jarry being victorious 0 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Minaur winning 7 and Jarry winning 1. The last match between Minaur and Jarry was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2023, Third, Hard with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-1 6-3 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:47:36.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Minaur and Jarry have played a deciding set 1 times, with Minaur winning 1 times and Jarry 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Minaur winning 3, and Jarry 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 82.51 while Jarry has played against players with an average rank of 135.91.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Minaur has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jarry has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Minaur has converted 45.9% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jarry has converted 34.02% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
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Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

19

Rank

16

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Nicolas Jarry

14

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

L L W W L W W W W L

Form

L L L W W W W W L L

63% (339-196)

Career Total W/L

60% (392-258)

73% (29-11)

YTD W/L

55% (16-13)

$9,000,855

Career Prize Money

$3,156,540

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Minaur VS Jarry H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Alex De Minaur Nicolas Jarry
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 7 1
Games Won 51 33
Aces (Total) 13 27
DFs (Total) 12 8
Avg Match Time 1:47:36 1:47:36
1st Serve % 56% (138/248) 65% (166/256)
1st Serve Win% 80% (111/138) 68% (113/166)
2nd Serve Win% 64% (70/110) 49% (44/90)
BPs Won% (Total) 59% (10/17) 40% (2/5)
Return Points W% 39% (99/256) 27% (67/248)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (3/3) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (3/0)

Minaur VS Jarry H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-3 6-2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Nicolas Jarry
49% ( 34 of 69)
1st Serve %
62% ( 44 of 71)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
3
85% ( 29 of 34)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 8 of 27)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 35 of 71)
86
Total Points Won
54
7-6(5) 7-6(2)
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Nicolas Jarry
55% ( 42 of 76)
1st Serve %
60% ( 47 of 78)
4
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
3
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 33 of 47)
68% ( 23 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 20 of 31)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
25% ( 19 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 25 of 78)
82
Total Points Won
72
7-6(1) 6-7(4) 6-2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Nicolas Jarry
60% ( 62 of 103)
1st Serve %
70% ( 75 of 107)
7
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
2
77% ( 48 of 62)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 52 of 75)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 30 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 39 of 107)
112
Total Points Won
98

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Alex De Minaur Nicolas Jarry
YTD W/L 73% (29/11) 55% (16/13)
Sets Win/Loss 68% (69/33) 51% (38/37)
Games Win/Loss 57% (533/400) 50% (388/382)
Hard Win/Loss 75% (15/5) 58% (7/5)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (10/5) 53% (9/8)
Indoor Hard W/L 80% (4/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.36 0.63
Aces Total 163 239
DFs per game 0.19 0.15
DFs Total 86 57
Avg Match Time 1:51:28 2:18:30
Avg Opp Rank 78.05 154.76
1st Serve % 55% (1496/2730) 64% (1526/2401)
1st Serve W% 72% (1072/1496) 74% (1132/1526)
2nd Serve W% 56% (694/1234) 51% (449/875)
BPs Won% Total 46% (151/329) 34% (66/194)
Return Pts W% 43% (1303/3036) 35% (878/2482)
Slam W/L 78% (7/2) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 64% (9/5) 62% (8/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Main Tour W/L 76% (13/4) 58% (7/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 70% (21/30) 58% (15/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 80% (8/10) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 44% (4/9) 50% (8/16)
Deciding Set W% 56% (5/9) 64% (9/14)
1st set W, W 96% (23/22) 92% (12/11)
1st set W, L 4% (23/1) 8% (12/1)
1st set L, W 41% (17/7) 24% (17/4)

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 75 of 109)
1st Serve %
48% ( 44 of 91)
2
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
4
69% ( 52 of 75)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 27 of 47)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
38% ( 41 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 91)
104
Total Points Won
96
L
6-4 7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54% ( 55 of 101)
1st Serve %
57% ( 65 of 114)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
57% ( 26 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
33% ( 33 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 114)
120
Total Points Won
95
W
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% ( 84 of 141)
1st Serve %
51% ( 54 of 105)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
6
65% ( 55 of 84)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
51% ( 29 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 30 of 51)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
40% ( 57 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 105)
128
Total Points Won
118
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
47% ( 38 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 51 of 99)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
12
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 47 of 99)
102
Total Points Won
78
W
7-5 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alex Michelsen
52% ( 32 of 62)
1st Serve %
75% ( 61 of 81)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 47 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
W
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H

Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 64 of 96)
1st Serve %
68% ( 75 of 110)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
37% ( 7 of 19)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 52 of 110)
117
Total Points Won
89
L
6-2 6-1 3-6 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
80% ( 39 of 49)
1st Serve %
68% ( 49 of 72)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 37 of 39)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 38 of 49)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
10% ( 5 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
70
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 78 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
53% ( 21 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
38% ( 45 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 30 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
103
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve %
69% ( 71 of 103)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69% ( 47 of 68)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 51 of 71)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
34% ( 35 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
105
Total Points Won
101
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Alexandre Muller
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
15
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefano Napolitano
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve %
52% ( 42 of 81)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 29 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
86
Total Points Won
79
W
6-2 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
W
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Nicolas Jarry
58% ( 53 of 91)
1st Serve %
62% ( 58 of 94)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 31 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 94)
100
Total Points Won
85
L
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Nicolas Jarry
62% ( 53 of 86)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
1
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 28 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 22 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Nicolas Jarry
77% ( 62 of 81)
1st Serve %
54% ( 37 of 68)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
35% ( 28 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
80
Total Points Won
69
L
6-4 7-5 H2H

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